• style99@lemm.ee
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    4 months ago

    Kamala should really be doing much better going against a despicable convicted rapist and a couch fucker.

    • Pronell@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      She will be.

      I’m increasingly confident about a blue wave this election. First multiracial female president in a time when bodily autonomy is under attack.

      And that’s all without taking into account who and what she is running against.

      • Coelacanth@feddit.nu
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        4 months ago

        It’s insane how much of politics comes down to vibes. Yeah Biden was too old, but I still can’t fathom how many were ready to let Trump win just because voting for a tired grandpa “didn’t feel good”.

          • TheLowestStone@lemmy.world
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            4 months ago

            America is increasingly an ignorant country IMO. Probably because half of our politicians are actively trying to dismantle public education.

          • CharlesDarwin@lemmy.world
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            4 months ago

            The exasperating part is that the aesthetics of a hellscape running under the thumb of these radically right wing creeps and weirdoes will some of the very worst…

            • aesthelete@lemmy.world
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              4 months ago

              Yes, I’m partially referring to the dichotomy Kierkegaard lays out in Either/Or between an aesthetic life and an ethical one. It’s clear to me that we discarded the possibility of ethics a few decades ago.

              But then I’m also referring to what you’re talking about and I totally agree that the fascist aesthetics are terrible as well.

              However, they’re also increasingly popular for some reason…cars that look like they’ll be used exclusively for transport to a black site, hideous people deforming themselves with clownish cosmetic procedures, every iteration of an American flag except the regular one, the fucking cyber truck…there are more examples…fucking ick.

        • SpaceCowboy@lemmy.ca
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          4 months ago

          Well it always comes down to the margins.

          Most voters just always vote the same way because it’s how their parents voted. Sad, but true. Then you have a band of voters that actually will vote based on the party platforms and the track record of who’s running. But all of these voters are easy to predict, set the platform accordingly and you know how many votes to expect. And that’s not a bad thing if an issue is important to voters and the politicians know this and can get those votes by promising to do something about it and have a fairly good track record on fulfilling their promises, everything goes smoothly.

          But then you’re left with a small percentage of people who will vote based on who they’d like to have a beer with, which one is more handsome, which one reminds them of one of their relatives or whatever.

          It comes down to the margins, and the margins are random as fuck.

    • USSMojave@startrek.website
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      4 months ago

      Since her campaign is only a week old, it will take some time for polling to catch up, but hopefully not much longer 🤞

    • x4740N@lemm.ee
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      4 months ago

      I’m just curious but where did the couch fucker thing come from because I saw memes of it on lemmy but don’t know where it came from

    • MTK@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      Don’t forget about the whole “probably a pedophile who wanted to fuck his daughter since she was a child”

    • LittleBorat2@lemmy.ml
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      4 months ago

      The rapist is pretty much confirmed but I doubt that someone ever fucked a couch. Not even I fucked a couch, so I am sceptical.

      • zarkanian@sh.itjust.works
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        4 months ago

        Yeah, the couch-fucking is a bogus story. You don’t need to make up embarrassing shit about JD Vance. There’s plenty of it that’s true. And there will be more coming out as the campaign progresses.

    • zephorah@lemm.ee
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      4 months ago

      She’s moderate. Always was. That will lose some people, but I still this will be a slam dunk for her.

      • Triasha@lemmy.world
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        4 months ago

        She was on the left end of the Senate. If she is a moderate, so is the whole democratic Senate.

        She could prove me wrong, but there is a lot of evidence that she is more progressive than Biden, who was already much more progressive than we thought when we all held our noses and voted against trump in 2020.

      • ...m...@ttrpg.network
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        4 months ago

        …her most-effective tactic will be to attack aggressively and mercilessly in a way the democratic establishment so far has avoided; popular sentiment loves a bully and incompetent fascists make ripe targets…

    • GiddyGap@lemm.ee
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      4 months ago

      In fact, the lead is only erased if people actually show up to vote. Otherwise, it’s still there.

      • ATDA@lemmy.world
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        4 months ago

        And even if someone thinks Harris has it locked in. Vote to spite Trump. Go out of your way to say “fuck you pig” at the ballot box.

  • nifty@lemmy.world
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    4 months ago

    Polls don’t mean anything if people don’t go out and vote, and tbh I don’t think Harris is leading in battle ground states enough to really say there might be a “blue wave”.

    Dems and allies may be in for a shock if they think Harris is a confirmed winner, from what I can tell it’s close and may remain close. Literally every vote may count https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2024/07/25/trump-harris-swing-state-polls-harris-trails-trump-in-most-key-battlegrounds-but-outperforms-biden/

      • samus12345@lemmy.world
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        4 months ago

        If the election were by popular vote, as it should be, this wouldn’t be an issue at all and Trump would have lost the first time. Our shitty system gives the hateful assholes far more representation than they should have.

        • TrickDacy@lemmy.world
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          4 months ago

          You’re right that he would’ve lost the first time, but it still would’ve been way closer to winning than is healthy. In a sane world, 20% of the popular vote for a racist, sexist, rapist, conman thief would’ve been concerning.

          • Olgratin_Magmatoe@lemmy.world
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            4 months ago

            Even the popular vote gets fucked up thanks to the electoral college though. Blue voters in red states have little incentive to show up to the polls because of the EC.

            Without it those voters would have more turn out.

        • CharlesDarwin@lemmy.world
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          4 months ago

          So true. The radical extremist qons and/or people that live in less important areas have far more influence than they should have. If anything, people that live in places with more people should have more influence, not less.

      • violetraven@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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        4 months ago

        Evangelicals sometimes believe that god picks Republican presidents and Satan will let Democrats win. There are others that believe in Dominionist Christianity feeling that those blessed by godjesus will be wealthy and given a position of power as gods will. We have some sad, crazy mf’ers in this country along with some really dumb, gullible people.

      • octopus_ink@lemmy.ml
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        4 months ago

        As a Non-American, the fact its a close race a fucking bonkers.

        As an American the fact that it’s a close race is fucking bonkers. I thought it was bonkers even when the alternative was Biden.

        • JimmyMcGill@lemmy.world
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          4 months ago

          I mean yes? Obviously not you but around half the people that vote somehow prefer Trump and Project 2025. And the people that don’t vote don’t care enough about it to get out of their homes and vote to keep democracy.

          So yes, about 2/3 of your country seem to be ok with that scenario. Though I believe that you and many people like you don’t.

          • p5yk0t1km1r4ge@lemmy.world
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            4 months ago

            They’re a goddamn cult, man. We don’t even view them as American, just to be clear. They’re terrorists that want fascism. The level of hatred we have for trump is bad enough that we are praising the attempted assassination.

            • Dkarma@lemmy.world
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              4 months ago

              It is important to note that we don’t hate trump because he’s a Republican we hate him because of the horrible illegal immoral things he’s done to our country.

              This is not about disagreements. Trump is a threat to America. That is not rhetoric. There is proof.

    • SpaceCowboy@lemmy.ca
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      4 months ago

      Pretty sure after 2016 nobody is assuming anything. Especially not when Harris is still behind Trump by 2 points. It would be insane to say “we’re behind 2 points but that’s within the margin of error, so good enough!”

    • Pronell@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      I fully acknowledge I’m being optimistic about the blue wave, but I also believe and hope that the momentum is just starting to build and will reflect down ballot.

      And yes, I will be voting and be sure to get everyone I know to vote as well.

  • DogPeePoo@lemm.ee
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    4 months ago

    The ear 👂 tampon made him look weak and reminded everyone that he lies about everything.

    Magically, zero damage to a “shot” ear 2 weeks later. Sure, Trump 😆🤣🤡

  • WhiskyTangoFoxtrot@lemmy.world
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    4 months ago

    A week that occurred during the period where the GOP should have been experiencing their post-convention bump. The Democrats haven’t had their convention yet, so that should give them another few points.

  • rickdg@lemmy.world
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    4 months ago

    Go for overwhelming victory. Win with your vote and hit the streets to celebrate and show support. Make the inevitable attack against the election results sound ridiculous.

    • shalafi@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      Then they’ll say that such an overwhelming victory shouldn’t have been possible and not legitimate.

      Anyway, I still say we blow 'em out at the polls.

    • Telorand@reddthat.com
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      4 months ago

      Also, predictive polls have been really terrible since 2016. They don’t have a good read on the electorate, mainly because they don’t understand the younger generations or know how to quantify social media influence.

      So I agree. Vote like our collective future depends on it. And remember that there’s a lot of downballot races that deserve attention, too.

  • daraul@lemmy.world
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    4 months ago

    I’m not American, so, to me, Kamala is the clear choice over a convicted felon. Americans I know are telling me she’s “done nothing” and is “a waste of space”. Why are people saying this?

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        4 months ago

        The impression I keep getting is that these people do not feel like she’d be a good president, but I don’t know why anyone thinks that. One person did tell me Trump “literally gave me money” when he was in power, so I don’t know what to think lol

        • CharlesDarwin@lemmy.world
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          4 months ago

          Well, uh, she cackles or something. Translation: she laughs. OMG, just like Hillary did!

          This seems to be the extent of their argument. Meanwhile, because Kamala laughs and doesn’t have a penis, that kind of argument stands, but the tone police will rush in to tell everyone in a Very Serious Way that talking about JD’s couch fuckin’ is not something anyone Very Serious should ever do, LOL. Um, why? If Kamala’s supposed “cackle” is a supposed issue, why isn’t JD’s alleged couch fuckin’?

          • NegativeInf@lemmy.world
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            4 months ago

            You know what? When my friends send me endless memes in the chat, I too cackle like Kamala. It’s nice to have a presidential candidate with so much joy in her heart that she cannot help but share it.

            Unlike trump, who I don’t think I’ve ever seen laugh, chuckle, chortle, or anything else that would remotely telegraph joy other than a froggy grin when he’s leering at his daughter.

    • Daxtron2@startrek.website
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      4 months ago

      Because you’re talking to either tankies or conservatives, both of which have a vested interest in sowing division within the populace

    • Fedizen@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      this was hillary clinton’s criticism of Bernie Sanders, also. I think republicans don’t realize they’re operating out of the Hillary Clinton Campaign this time. Republicans might as well say “Its His Turn”

  • octopus_ink@lemmy.ml
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    4 months ago

    Just remember this picture everyone, no matter how good it looks right now. And YOU probably don’t need to see this, but maybe you have friends who do. I have a few who will be getting this in a text message in October.

    • hglman@lemmy.ml
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      4 months ago

      This is why voting reform is the most important issue of our times.

    • rekorse@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      The majority of the do not vote block is voter suppression. If you dont experience that in your own life you aren’t the group being suppressed.

  • ThatOneKrazyKaptain@lemmy.world
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    4 months ago

    One thing worth noting about how much the devil is in the details.

    Arizona and Nevada are still leaning pretty solidly R at the moment.(Trump’s hispanic margins have steadily gone up since 2016, dropping the wall focus helped a lot). Wisconsin and Michigan are the closest to going D albeit Trump still leans ahead. PA is in the middle and is the most important of the set. (North Carolina is the strongest R of all 7, and Georgia is the Libertarian Ex-Democrat Chase Olivers homestate which combined with Cornell West’s strong focus there and the election commission shenanigans means those two are out of play barring some good luck and Roy Cooper being picked. Trump would have won Georgia in 2020 with no third party vote and those have leaned left since. I don’t consider them swing states unless Andy or Roy are on board).

    In the Rust Belt Focus scenario(They pick Shapiro or Walz and make Pennsylvania the biggest focus as it’s the most important state, and manage to finish ahead in all 3, at the cost of Arizona, Nevada, and the Southern States), the final score is 268-270. A win, but a damn tight one.

    Except…Nebraska. Nebraska is putting a law up in September to change the way their state distributes to be Winner Take All. If it goes through it would be passed in October, taking away one D vote from Omaha and giving it to R. (Maine has threatened to do the same if Nebraska does, but they wouldn’t have it done til after the election if they did, not enough time). That would change the above scenario to a 269-269 decided by the current House…which is Trump run and even if it wasn’t it’s state by state and more than 26 states are safe red even in a blue wave scenario. Though it would leave the VP pick to the Senate, which is democrat right now, and while it couldn’t be Harris due to her current spot anyone else would be came. So there’d be a very real chance of a Trump/Shapiro ticket which would be a dysfunctional nightmare and would have a massive chance of one of the two getting murdered.(I can’t find a source if it’s the current senate or the newly elected one as they get inaugurated seperately from the president, but if the senate falls which looks likely the Republicans can pick the VP, and while the House is leaning democrat due to it being state by state it would be R regardless).

    This ALSO happens in the reverse scenario, where the Dems focus on the Southwestern States with Mark Kelly(taking Arizona and Nevada) AND manage to put on enough pressure to take Wisconsin and Michigan(which are the closest and Kelly while he isn’t a winning deal there is still better than nothing), but are unable to win Pennsylvania(which is a lot more red leaning and without Shapiro or Walz is probably going red). 270 - 268 win for Democrats…unless Nebraska changes the law in which case it’s a tie, House picks, see above.

    The specific configuration of which states go where makes a tie super likely this year especially if Nebraska switches their rules(which isn’t unconstitutional, they picked a weird unique system and they can unpick it, the other system is used by 48 states that’s all above board. The scummy part is the timing as it would leave Maine without time to change their own system before the election and thus secure an extra R vote without an extra D vote from changing Maine). There are also tie scenarios in the event Nebraska doesn’t change, namely the “Arizona, North Carolina, and Georgia go blue, everything else goes Red” possibility if someone like Beshear or Cooper is picked ends in a 269-269 tie, as does a couple of scenarios where Maine-State swings Red(which it has come extremely close to more than once), turning narrow Blue wins into ties. And if those scenarios happened alongisde a Nebraska change they’d suddenly be 270-268 clean wins.