Kubilius noted that while 155mm artillery shells were a significant challenge at the start of the full-scale invasion, production is now ramping up. At the same time, he underlined that the priority challenge currently remains the shortage of missiles for Ukraine’s air defense.
Tl/dr: it’s at 2 million, about 5x more than in 2022.
But still 1/6th a good target. Look up how much was used in WWI. (WWII used less, but that was a different style of war)
The upside is that Russia has about 6000-8000 T-70s left, and basically no other armor. The usage rate may be falling off a cliff in the next several months
Tank use fell off greatly over a year ago. Russia still has some and uses them, but they have to be selective because they no longer can afford to lose 30-60 per day and know it. They seem to be a bit selective on artillery use compared to a year ago, but they seem to have a lot they don’t worry about losing.
Of course every loss the Russians face is good, but the goal isn’t those losses, it is Russia out of Ukraine.


