• AutoTL;DR@lemmings.worldB
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    2 years ago

    This is the best summary I could come up with:


    The Russian ruble’s wobble in value has exposed a crack in President Vladimir Putin’s fortress economy, a vulnerability quickly plastered over by the Kremlin’s economic team in a move that allowed the currency to regain its footing, at least for now.

    Outdoor seating at restaurants and bars on the popular Bolshaya Nikitskaya street were packed on a recent evening with well-dressed residents enjoying balmy August weather.

    While the shrinking trade surplus has led the currency to steadily decline, Moscow has benefited because a weaker exchange rate actually helps the government pay its bills.

    It prompted the central bank to carry out a large emergency interest rate hike of 3.5 percentage points aimed at cooling local demand for imports.

    Longer term, however, Russia’s economy is facing a “slow burn” under pressure from sanctions and Putin’s war spending, said Robin Brooks, chief economist with the Institute of International Finance.

    In the short term, the ruble’s decline is “not a sign that Russia is about to run into a major financial crisis,” says Chris Weafer, CEO and Russian economy analyst at consulting firm Macro-Advisory Ltd.


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