The new NBC News poll shows 51% of registered voters saying they plan to vote early, with that group breaking hard for Harris and Election Day voters backing Trump.

The new NBC News poll shows 51% of registered voters saying they plan to vote early, with that group breaking hard for Harris and Election Day voters backing Trump.

Half of registered voters plan to vote early this fall, new figures from the September NBC News poll show, with Democrats continuing to run up the score among early voters and Republicans getting stronger backing from those who plan to vote in person on Election Day.

Fifty-one percent of voters say they’ll vote early, either by mail or in person, with Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump 61%-35% (a 26-point margin) among those voters.

By comparison, Trump leads by 20 points, 57%-37%, with the group of voters who plan to vote on Election Day, which accounts for 45% of the electorate in the poll. It’s a smaller lead among a slightly smaller share of the electorate than Harris has over those early voters.

🗳️ Register to vote: https://vote.gov/

  • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.worldEnglish
    58·
    1 month ago

    Democrats - particularly in low-income and minority majority areas - tend to face enormous lines at voting booths on election day. Polling stations regularly run out of ballots or have lots of broken and misconfigured machines. Polling delays can lead to legal drama around whether ballots will even be counted

    Republicans, particularly those concentrated in the wealthy suburbs, rarely have these problems.

    This tends to shape voter behavior over the long term.

    • realcaseyrollins@thelemmy.clubEnglish
      38·
      1 month ago

      What about Democrats in cities and wealthy suburbs? As a lifelong Republican and suburban citizen, I don’t think I’ve ever lived in a suburb that wasn’t Democratic-leaning.

      • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.worldEnglish
        12·
        1 month ago

        As a lifelong Republican and suburban citizen, I don’t think I’ve ever lived in a suburb that wasn’t Democratic-leaning.

        As a lifelong independent and suburban citizen, I don’t think I’ve ever lived in a suburb that wasn’t flush with conservatives. Every major city in Texas is teaming with them. Staten Island in New York puts up some of the state’s only GOP Congressmen. Virginia, California, Ohio… JD Vance is the picture of suburban conservative voter. And what is New Jersey if not a suburb of New York City? They run out the Chris Christie brand of politician on the reg?

        • realcaseyrollins@thelemmy.clubEnglish
          21·
          1 month ago

          Interesting. I’ve been to some of these states, and with the exception of California, these states are either purple or blue with high concentrations of Democrats in urbanized areas.

          • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.worldEnglish
            9·
            1 month ago

            White Flight which peaked in the 90s/00s means the urban cores tend to be liberal while the surrounding suburbs are full of reactionaries.

  • TransplantedSconie@lemm.ee
    54·
    1 month ago

    My state of New Hampshire doesn’t allow early voting and gets to watch as all the tax revenue from legal weed goes to the states surrounding us because of Republicans.

    Live Free or Die my ass lol

        • Ensign_Crab@lemmy.worldEnglish
          91·
          1 month ago

          Texas will need to go blue before that happens. Republicans know that selective enforcement by racist police keeps people they don’t want to vote in jail.

          • WeirdGoesPro@lemmy.dbzer0.com
            5·
            1 month ago

            Texas is a lot bluer than people give it credit for, but we are one of the most gerrymandered states in the union. Going blue will take more like 70/30 instead of 51/49.

            Before people judge the state, they should look at how the populated cities vote, and understand that the big swaths of red on the election map tend to be inhabited by cows and hogs.

            • DokPsy@infosec.pub
              5·
              1 month ago

              Hey now. We’ve also got goats and fish.

              And really ticked off blue voters watching the same Trump fondlers get elected over and over again

    • danafest@lemm.ee
      4·
      1 month ago

      As a person living in Maine, I do love the legal weed but it’s getting pretty annoying when every new business that opens is a dispensary. I have no idea how they all make enough revenue to stay open. Some blocks in Portland literally have 3+ dispensaries.

  • nondescripthandle@lemmy.dbzer0.com
    541·
    1 month ago

    We see the writing on the wall. Someone(s) is(are) going to attack a voting center eventually since them attacking the certification didn’t work.

  • gravitas_deficiency@sh.itjust.worksEnglish
    34·
    1 month ago

    And DeJoy is still Postmaster General. I’m sure he won’t try to fuck with and delay the carriage of completed and returned ballots just like he did in 2020. WCGW 🤦‍♂️

  • GlendatheGayWitch@lemmy.world
    17·
    1 month ago

    If you’re in TX, polls will be open from Oct 21- Nov 1, with one final day to vote on Nov 5. Your voter registration must be approved on or before Oct 7 to vote in this election.

    Polls will be open at least 9 hours the first week and at least 12 hours during the second week and final day to vote. Go early and you won’t have much of a line, if there’s even a line at all! We were the first state with early voting, so take advantage of it!

    www.votetexas.gov has all the info you need. You can check your voter registration, find voter registration forms, see polling locations and their hours for the entire voting period, and find answers to other election questions.

  • fireweed@lemmy.world
    6·
    1 month ago

    This may have something to do with which states do all-mail voting:

    Eight states—California, Colorado, Hawaii, Nevada, Oregon, Utah, Vermont and Washington and the District of Columbia—allow all elections to be conducted entirely by mail.

    Utah is deep red, but the others are quite blue. Especially with California in there, that’s a pretty good chunk of the US that votes early by default (there are same-day options in these states, but I suspect that option is often utilized due to procrastination rather than intentionally waiting until election day to vote).

  • realcaseyrollins@thelemmy.clubEnglish
    61·
    1 month ago

    You would think that fear of potential election day fiascos would drive Trump supporters to vote early, no? It was a minor calculous in my own decision to vote early (though not a major one, even if there are election shenanigans they’d never happen where I live).

  • Rapidcreek@lemmy.world
    32·
    1 month ago

    In Florida, the early votes are tabulated election day morning and are reported with the first results reports from the precinct.

  • ilinamorato@lemmy.world
    1·
    1 month ago

    So if I’m doing my math correctly, that’s 49%-45% for Harris in the popular vote. And that 49% is pretty much right on where she’s been polling in traditional polls. But Trump has been polling way higher than 45% recently—so if this is in any way true, he’s got a much tougher path to victory ahead of him than the standard numbers suggest.