Groups of voters from Illinois and Massachusetts on Thursday filed motions to remove Donald Trump from the 2024 ballot, adding to the list of states where the former president faces a challenge to his candidacy under the 14th Amendment’s so-called insurrectionist ban.
Most of the states removing him right now are strongly democratic, so it won’t have much of an impact on the electoral college right now. Mostly it’s just going to reduce the popular vote numbers, which don’t mean a thing.
Most states doing it are blue states with no electoral splits. So it doesn’t mean much. The GOP will install him as their candidate via undemocratic means anyway.
The most interesting removal so far is Maine, since Trump won one electoral vote there from the 2nd district. If it only happens in blue states, it probably doesn’t meaningfully affect his chances.
He’d need to be off the ballot in 270 EV worth of states to mathematically be unable to win. That would be very, very exceptional circumstances.
How many states will it take before Trump can’t numerically win the election?
Most of the states removing him right now are strongly democratic, so it won’t have much of an impact on the electoral college right now. Mostly it’s just going to reduce the popular vote numbers, which don’t mean a thing.
Most states doing it are blue states with no electoral splits. So it doesn’t mean much. The GOP will install him as their candidate via undemocratic means anyway.
The most interesting removal so far is Maine, since Trump won one electoral vote there from the 2nd district. If it only happens in blue states, it probably doesn’t meaningfully affect his chances.
He’d need to be off the ballot in 270 EV worth of states to mathematically be unable to win. That would be very, very exceptional circumstances.