I would say yes, although there is the slim possibility that these few years are an outlier. No serious person should count on it, however, because the consequences of being wrong in spite of what we’re seeing are downright apocalyptic.
This is an El Nino year too, La Nina years will drag down the average somewhat. You can even see the inflection in the chart when el Nino started. Though obviously the charts are not looking great, with or without El Nino.
So, when can we safely declare 1.5C dead? Because, um, well, it’s not looking great.
I would say yes, although there is the slim possibility that these few years are an outlier. No serious person should count on it, however, because the consequences of being wrong in spite of what we’re seeing are downright apocalyptic.
This is an El Nino year too, La Nina years will drag down the average somewhat. You can even see the inflection in the chart when el Nino started. Though obviously the charts are not looking great, with or without El Nino.
While true, it’s important to remember that 1.5 was the goal for 2050 (as a 30 year average). That seems fairly unlikely at this point
Oh I agree, absolutely. Just thought I’d add that as some people might wonder what that big jump was halfway through last year.
We’re already past 1.5C.