Already the conflict has drawn in Sudan’s neighbours - all seven of them are hosting Sudanese refugees. There’s evidence some are serving as conduits for RSF weapons and other supplies, as well as warning signs that the violence could cross borders and aggravate internal tensions.

Perhaps the dangers of a destructive stalemate might eventually lead the powerful backers of Sudan’s warring parties to rethink their strategies, says Soliman.

“A fragmented, insecure and highly unstable Sudan is not beneficial to them,” he says. “That’s the one grain I hope will push the regional actors to come together at some point to make some concessions and chart a way forward. I don’t envisage anything else being feasible.”