- cross-posted to:
- Ukraine_UA@kbin.social
- ukraine
- cross-posted to:
- Ukraine_UA@kbin.social
- ukraine
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The Russian army has been cracking for over a year now, Ukraine has beaten them over and over again for a long time. Why does the article make it sound like now is the final push or that victor is somehow close? Russia keeps pumping people into the meat grinder, and as long as they do that, they can not lose.
Modern wars are not decided by the size of the army. Russia lost in wars every time it faced an economically stronger alliance - be it in the Crimean war or Russo-Japanese war. Earlier on, Muscovy also lost in wars against the Crimean khan: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fire_of_Moscow_(1571) and the Lithuania-led alliance: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Truce_of_Yam-Zapolsky Nowadays, in the age of technology, the human waves count less and less, and the economy is even more important. Especially since Russia is in a deep demographic crisis. The victory is indeed getting closer, as the Ruscist artillery is gradually getting attrited by modern Ukrainian and Western weapons.
I am not sure how a war from 500 years ago is relevant to this war. Victory is getting closer, as it has been every day since the initial invasion was halted. You greatly underestimate the importance of soldiers. Even when they are poorly equipped and have hardly any training, they can easily kill an Ukrainian soldier in CQC. We, sadly, have lots of footage of this happening. Unless Ukraine also wants to throw their people into the grinder, they can not just ignore these soldiers.
Nowadays, thanks to DPICM munitions and Western tanks, there’s little of CQC. Ruscist soldiers are sent to hell en masse with relatively little Ukrainian casualties. Ukraine gradually (but powerfully) attrits Ruscist artillery and army (instead of territorial advance at any cost) exactly because it values its soldiers. Thanks to this attrition, the former Ruscist artillery advantage is now gone, and Ukraine now shoots at Ruscists with little counterbattery fire and CQC.
Wars from the past are relevant since they show that ultimately, it is economics and logistics (not population) which decide the outcome of the war. And Russia’s GDP is about 20 times less than the combined GDP of the pro-Ukrainian alliance. It’s less than the Texas economically.
Where do you get informations that there is little QCQ now?
"The simplest answer is that the battlefield of 2023 is very, very different from the battlefield of 1943.
In 1943, tanks could rarely hit targets further than 500m away, or 1km at the maximum. Today the best tanks can strike targets to the visual horizon.(5000-6000m), Digital fire controls and laser range-finding have radically altered the accuracy of guns.
Furthermore, the development and deployment of numerous infantry fighting vehicles renders dismounted infantry more vulnerable, as an armored vehicle firing 40mm exploding shells at 200 rounds per minute can decimate a hundred charging infantry in 30 seconds or less. Such vehicle classes didn’t even exist in WW2.
GPS and laser-guided munitions allow precision strikes to take out groups of infantry from 50-60km away."