Krugman has this to say about it:
For those not familiar with how financial markets work, US Treasuries are the ultimate safe asset, used as collateral for everything. Even a hint that some Treasuries might not be honored could bring everything to a screeching halt
Musk and Trump are both in the habit of stiffing people they owe money. If markets even suspect that this habit will extend to Treasuries, God help us
Russia has already defaulted on some loans. China’s second biggest trade partner is USA (EU is first but trade is more balanced between the two than USA), so this would hurt China greatly as well.
Seems to me EU would benefit the most.