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politics @lemmy.world · 2 months ago

Gambling on 'vibes' — the betting markets are getting the election all wrong

cross-posted to:
usa@lemmy.ml

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Gambling on 'vibes' — the betting markets are getting the election all wrong

return2ozma@lemmy.world to

politics @lemmy.world · 2 months ago

cross-posted to:
usa@lemmy.ml

Gambling on ‘vibes’ — why the betting markets are getting the election all wrong

The betting markets currently have Donald Trump at a 62% chance of winning Tuesday’s election, but this is based on the bettors’ models that rely on social media engagement, which may n…

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Funderpants @lemmy.ca
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Betting markets can be swayed easily by wealth, sure. Another bias is that they’re overwhelmingly frequented by young men.
- SilentStorms@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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  Also betting on who you think will win, doesn’t always match with who you’re voting for.

politics @lemmy.world

politics@lemmy.world

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