• That 53% of voters includes ever trump voter in the country

    Perhaps not every single last one, but good point overall.

    So if it’s every trump supporter,

    I would need more evidence to support the rest of this. But yeah we at least can get a better handle by filtering out those supporters - the remaining percentage is likely to be much smaller.

    Republicans pander to the majority of their base. And Dems also pander to the Republican base.

    Actually this is not true. AOC for example, endorses Harris (as per https://www.bbc.com/news/videos/cj4xegj1jq2o ) but is definitely more liberal than Harris and not afraid to state it (see https://qz.com/aoc-mark-cuban-kamala-harris-ftc-lina-khan-billionaire-1851669012 )

    Harris is in a tough spot to win the election but wait another generation or decade and I have a feeling that things are going to look very different.