Well thing is polls are always little bad at predicting in this kind of situation.
You’re right. Polls are more responsive to the things going on than predictive about what should happen. As the situation changes, polls would change to reflect that, but Kamala is starting from about the worst position of anyone, which is worrisome because it means a lot more messaging to turn people around.
So the “Harris wouldn’t be better choice”, well she will be the choice in year or two. Don’t think voters don’t take that into account. People aren’t dumb and can read life expectancy chart and use their eyes.
If that were true, and I don’t buy into the scenario or that it significantly affects how people will vote, but I’ll entertain it, how do you expect things to turn out differently if Kamala were at the top is the ticket? If anything, that feels like an argument that Kamala is hurting Biden’s numbers.
You’re right. Polls are more responsive to the things going on than predictive about what should happen. As the situation changes, polls would change to reflect that, but Kamala is starting from about the worst position of anyone, which is worrisome because it means a lot more messaging to turn people around.
If that were true, and I don’t buy into the scenario or that it significantly affects how people will vote, but I’ll entertain it, how do you expect things to turn out differently if Kamala were at the top is the ticket? If anything, that feels like an argument that Kamala is hurting Biden’s numbers.