FiveThirtyEight's poll tracker shows Joe Biden has a 53 percent chance of winning the election, while Trump has a 46 percent chance.

Polls are crap

It’s a little bit notable how they change over time, but mostly it is just a bunch of poor methodology noise

But, I do feel it’s relevant to point out that even in polling land Biden has been gaining for the last few weeks and it’s notable which media outlets are pretending it is the opposite of that (like severely the opposite) and to wonder why that is

  • Gloria@sh.itjust.works
    1822·
    4 months ago

    It is July. There is August, September and October.

    Do not believe the polls! Prepare to VOTE! Tell others to VOTE!

    There is no leaning back or relieve until November 5.

    Do not believe the medias polls. Especially not Newsweek.

    GO OUT AND VOTE!

    • ThrowawayOnLemmy@lemmy.world
      542·
      4 months ago

      Just requested my absentee ballot yesterday.

      If you can vote by mail, do it. Avoid the intimidation at the lines if you can.

      But if you can’t, go in groups. Take as long as necessary, do not be deterred

    • m-p{3}@lemmy.ca
      462·
      4 months ago

      Just vote, doesn’t matter the polls.

      Oh but Biden / Trump has enough vote to win

      So? Add another vote.

    • TAG@lemmy.world
      10·
      4 months ago

      Even if your presidential vote does not matter, you also vote for down ballot candidates. They are the ones that have the biggest influence on your life. Your state senator can write laws to protect you or harm you. Your town’s sheriff gets to decide if your local police officer should be fired and who should be hired instead.