Ex ante, I think I’d say the probability of a complete, fully decorated, detailed chart on social media discussion of Spinosaurus being created for this specific discussion is about as large as it being reused again and again on several occasions.

Also, again ex ante I think I’d say both probabilities are close to zero. So I guess I should reevaluate my priors.

(Also, my autocorrector insists on fixing “Spinosaurus” into “Tyrannosaurus”. I think my autocorrector should reevaluate its priors too.)