It’s also the reason for a huge wildfire or two that took out a chunk of land and homes.

Decrease in new solar. Once the panels are up there’s no reason to take them down unless your roof is leaking or something.

There was a huge rush last year to beat the deadline to get grandfathered into the old NEM 2.0 rate structure. Like the article says, the new NEM 3.0 rate structure pays about 25% of what the old plan does for surplus energy back to the grid. This basically doubled the payback period for a solar project from like 5-6 years to over 10 years.

Under the new structure it’s more cost efficient to add battery storage so you can time your exports but the battery costs are also large so the payback period is still way higher than before. These changes basically killed all financial incentive for anyone interested in solar.

This is all different from the flat electric bill you mentioned which is something just recently approved by the CPUC. This change adds a ~$25 unavoidable fee every month so that even if you use zero or negative energy you still have to pay. To compensate, they are lowering the per-kW rates by a small amount. Of course however, this new policy has no limits on how much the new flat fee or the per-kW rate can increase. And as we’ve seen in the past few years, PG&E will raise rates however much they want with no recourse.

So in the end, big wins for PG&E shareholders. The only losers are every single Californian and every living being who enjoys a livable climate.

If you can’t sell back to the grid at a decent rate, that destroys much of the economic incentive. Unless you pair it with a battery, but that’s a huge initial capital expenditure to make in one go.